Monday, May 28, 2012

Thursday, May 24, 2012

End Of The White Line For The Snow Queen

That's right another prediction while I'm at it. I know it's been said before and before, but if Obama loses the election and the House stays Republican, then Nancy Pelosi is going to retire. Maybe not even waiting until her term is up.

The Vote That Dare Not Speak Its Name

Get it? Cuz Obama just endorsed... oh, nevermind. Anyway, this one's for Innominatus who mentioned if Arizona really could vote for Obama.
Keep in mind this is for Gabby Gifford's district which is more liberal than most of Arizona. If you can't mention Obama's name there it's probably a bad sign if you're Obama or a Democratic candidate.

Even More Presidential Electionish Stuff

Karl Rove's article via Ace reminded me that I forgot to add a "states to watch" section to this post.

The first state to watch is one that Rove brings up, Massachusetts. I'm curious to see how well Romney does in Massachusetts partly because they elected Scott Brown to "Ted Kennedy's seat" and also that Scott Brown is running against a former Obama staffer. Second, I know Massachusetts is bluer than blue, but Presidents usually win their former states, and losing presidential candidates often lose their former states. Heck, if Al Gore had only won Tennessee we wouldn't even know what a hanging chad is.

Colorado. It used to be a reliably conservative state and then it goes hard for Obama because he held his greek-columnated super festival there? Were they just swept up in Hope and Change or has another Mind Your Own Business state been turned to the dark blue side like New Mexico?

Wisconsin. Unions wasting taxpayer money on a recall of a governor who sure seems to have been right in his policies would appear to be the motivating factor for a Romney win here. This state seems conspicuous because a lot of things are lining up for the Republicans. You would think Democrats would be ashamed to show their face at the polls after their own politicians ran away from home rather than lose a vote which they lost anyway, but then again Nancy Pelosi is still the Dem House leader so whatever.

Nevada. As Rove points out, I'm curious to see if Obama's War on Las Vegas affects the vote here.

California. No, I don't think Obama loses here but a few things. California voted for the gay marriage ban so I'm curious how that plays with Obama's "coming out" recently. I also have this weird notion that Californians are the most superficial of voters (How else do you explain The Guvernator, Arnold Schwarzenegger?) A movie star-ish looking candidate like Romney would seem to be a good fit here. Another factor could be California's historically bad voter turnout. If Obama voters don't feel like turning out, how close could this be?

New Jersey. Two words. Chris Christie.

Pennsylvania. I'd rather watch Minnesota (Obama only got 54% here in the year of Hope and Change?) but Pennsylvania is the Republicans' Great White Whale. Always knowing they could be so close to turning it but still....

The Post Wherein I Disagree With Charles Krauthammer

Charles Krauthammer seems to think that the reason Obama can't dump Biden as vice president is because of his narcissism.

“Obama, I think, can never bring himself to do something very large, like this, which would show that he needs the Clintons, particularly Hillary, to win.” “I just think for Obama to show himself as being weak and needing this to win is more than he can ever muster,”

 I'm not arguing the narcissism and I also agree that Obama will not do anything very large (unless of course he has a way to blame others for its possible failure). But since when has Obama ever show any reticence to throw other people under the bus in pursuit of his re-coronation? And on top of that, I don't even think Obama wanted Joe Biden to be his vice president and he's shown more than once that he doesn't regard Biden particularly highly. I think the mistake Charles Krauthammer makes is in thinking that because he (Charles Krauthammer) considers the office of the vice president to be important, then Barack Obama also must think it is. But if Barack Obama's entire presidency is any indication, the only thing important to Obama is Obama and the furtherance of the cause of Obama. It's not a terribly kind reading, but it does seem to be an accurate one. Frankly, if you want to understand how Obama will act in the future, just think less of him.

So Yeah, Reverend Wright Is Totally Fair Game

Apparently it's ok to stalk members of Romney's church now or something. I guess the media got pretty embarrassed when people found out that they forgot to vet that last guy during the last election. Or after it. Or during this election. But anyway now they're working overtime to right this terrible wrong by... going after Romney. Hey, did you see CNN tracking down Romney's relatives in some small town in Mexico earlier this month? That's hard hitting journalism that will surely restore peoples' trust in the media again. Which I guess is why The New York Times decided to hassle parishioners at Romney's church. And you'll never guess what they found...

"The way I reported the story is I really talked to members of the LDS church who are close to Romney, who have worshiped with him over the years, who really know him. And they see one conflict in particular, which is between the kind of ideals that Romney professed in church. He put a lot of emphasis on treating other people well, on being sensitive and respectful, on being generous and giving, talked a lot about Jesus' lessons in those manner. And yet these Mormons see the way Romney is carrying out political attacks, some of which are very harsh and they see a conflict between what he taught in church and what he does on the campaign trail,"

Wow, so members of Romney's own church don't like Romney's political ads, just like Obama? That's kind of convenient for a political advocate of Obama, like The New York Times, to report, isn't it? I just have a question. I thought Mormons don't let outsiders into their churches. She makes it sound like she actually went into the church to interview people. So did she interview them outside of the church? Did she follow them home? Or is this one of those Mormon churches where they let anyone walk through the doors? Because otherwise it sounds like she's lying and she just made up a story. And The New York Times published it. Which is exactly what you'd expect from The New York Times.

Obama Is Not An Overspender. No Seriously.

Lovely. Here's Obama's spokesman scolding the press for not pushing the "Obama is a fiscal conservative" meme that the administration is trying to Hail Mary across to the American people. He then emphasizes the similarity between this administration and Jimmy Carter's. Because that's how you win elections.

I Can't Believe You People Think Obama Is An "Overspender"

Poor baby. I wonder where people got that idea.

Saturday, May 19, 2012

More Presidentialish Predictions

That's right, more crazy predictions. I think Arizona Senator Jon Kyl will be Romney's vice-president. He's retiring this year and he has already said that he's done with politics. Unless someone asks him to be vice-president. He actually said that. How convenient. I also think Romney will be far enough up in the polls in the coming months that he won't have to make an 'exciting' pick like McCain had too. Plus Kyl is a safe pick that the media won't be able to demagogue. Of course if it's close or Romney's not ahead in the polls then I think they're corralling Rubio to try and seal up Florida.

Which gets us to Joe Biden. He's gone. Under the bus. Outta heeeerrreee. I really don't see him staying once Obama gets desperate and I think that might be soon if the economy keeps showing signs of fading. Obama may not be a terribly savvy politician but his advisors are already freaking out now. And of course they're going to pick Hillary. She may not like it, but I don't see any way that she can say no.

I'm Out. I Don't Want To Play Anymore

Friday, May 18, 2012

I'm Starting To Think Obama Might Not Win The Next Election

It's way too early to start making predictions about the next election, so here are my predictions for the next election. Romney will win some states. And the election. 
By my estimation Romney will win all the states that John McCain won four years ago. That gets him to 180 electoral votes. Add perennial red states Indiana, which barely went blue(49%?) in the year of Hope and Change, and also North Carolina, since Obama hates banks and North Carolina's a banking state. That's 206 votes. Time for some swing states. Virginia(which I guess is considered a swing state this year),Florida, Iowa and Ohio. That's 272. I was actually kind of surprised how easy this was when I started adding up states and none of these would be terribly difficult for Romney to win with an incumbent like Obama. Even in a close election none of these states look too bad.

But I don't think this will be a close election. And this is just my bare minimum prediction for Romney. It's time to face the facts and the possibility of jinxes, but there's something in the air, and it's failure. Obama's failure. And it's not just politicos that can smell it. Obama didn't win the last election because he was a smart politician or a savvy campaigner, he was just the "Not Bush" candidate that the media had been campaigning for for eight years. And now everyone knows it. Why do you think Obama has been bending over backwards to appease the women vote and the gay vote? Because he's desperate. Like the Black vote, these are votes he should just assume he's going to win, but this year he can't. So what do you call it when an incumbent has to worry about losing the deepest parts of his base? A wave election. Mmmmmmmm. So what would a wave election look like? The first ones on the map to probably go would be New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. The next group to fall would be Washington, Oregon, Maine, Pennsylvania(coal county!) and maybe Minnesota. If he looks like he's in trouble in the coming months in any of these states then he is toast. Beyond this and we're talking the full Dukakis. Maybe even the full Mondale. I know he's not popular in Arizona, but It's hard to judge other states except through the media. It depends on how badly the media has been deluding us (and themselves) about Obama's popularity, but if on election night he loses Maine early then get out the popcorn and turn to MSNBC and tear off the knob.

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Hey, You Know Who's Like Totally Going To Vote For Obama?

Soldiers. And not just any soldiers, South Carolinians. Because if there's one place Obama is really popular, it's the South. And in the military. That's right, from the U.S. Bureau of "Journalism" and Striking Coincidences, we've found another voting group, besides women and Catholics, in love with reelecting Obama. Yep, they're just so gosh-darned tired of those darn Republicans that they are totally going to vote for Obama and give him a second term. And this is news so important that Yahoo felt they should post it twice. On Sunday and again on Monday.
And you know how Obama now supports gay marriage (hey, I'd say I support gay marriage too if someone gave me $15 million dollars), and how Democrats were worried that African-Americans, those people who helped California and North Carolina pass anti-gay marriage bills, wouldn't be too happy about Obama's newest stance on gay marriage? Well, in one heck of a coincidence, they're totally fine with it!  Oh, and you know how gay marriage might be a problem for Obama with those religious types? Well, it turns out they've been conflicted (and therefore not at all angry with Obama) with this issue too! Just like with abortion! Everything's comin' up Obama!

Breaking News: Barack Obama Is Still Parody-Proof

Barack Obama: "JPMorgan is one of the best managed banks there is."

JP Morgan: "We just lost $2 Billion dollars. That's with a B. And actually it'll probably be more.

Barack Obama: "Please, let me finish. What I was saying is that JPMorgan is one of the best managed banks there is. Jamie Dimon, the head of it, is one of the smartest bankers we got and they still lost $2 billion and counting. We don't know all the details. It's going to be investigated, but this is why we passed Wall Street reform."

Me: "Wait, that's why you passed Wall Street reform???"

Barack Obama: "....umm....uhh....the war on women?"

The U.S. Treasury: "We've lost $5 Trillion since Barack Obama became president. That's $5 Trillion, with a T"

Barack Obama: "....umm....uhh....gay marriage?"

Obama's close personal friend and one-time choice to head the U.S. Treasury, Jon Corzine: "Put me in coach! I'll have this mess fixed in a jiffy!"